The Implications of AI for the Future of Innovation
When it comes to AI
and the future, there are a lot of serious issues to worry about. In this
piece, I'd want to talk about how human creativity and AI sometimes seem to be
at odds with one another. Although the issue is not yet widely discussed, it is
looming on the horizon because we in the information era are oblivious to our
immediate surroundings.
Many people believe
that Artificial Intelligence consultancy will never be able to replace humans in creative professions like
painting, storytelling, filmmaking, writing, or innovation. Though I'd like to
reassure you that these ideas are correct, I just can't do so in good
conscience or reason. In certain fields, we can already witness the embryonic
stages of AI, and the writing is on the wall (or, more accurately, on the
graffiti). Already, we have AI artwork that is indistinguishable from
human-created works; this means that AI has passed the Turing Test in the field
of art.
We also have quite
good artificially intelligent novel writers, as well as songwriting and
composition software. We've seen the first artificial intelligence films, too;
they're not quite up to human standards yet, but they're getting there. And
think about the fact that, in the movie industry at large, very few new genres
are introduced these days; instead, most films follow tried-and-true plotlines
with only minor variations in style. Good (high-grossing) Hollywood films
adhere to certain standards, much like good writing and good art. Computers,
programs, and AI can all be taught new rules. Artificial intelligence can also
mix and match untried combinations in real-time at minimal cost per new unit
created.
As I've mentioned
before, most innovations also adhere to laws and make use of simple
recombination tactics. It can't be that difficult, either, if people do learn
to be more creative and innovative from everyone who claims to be teaching it
now. And if it is simple, then it's safe to assume that AI will soon be able to
do it. In reality, you don't need to be a mastermind to figure it out.
How Artificial
Intelligence Can Imitate Human Ingenuity
Just connect IBM's
Watson to a supercomputer and feed it every piece of data ever gathered from
around the globe. Then, simply tell it to rearrange every word and sentence in
every language and then ask Watson to interpret the results. For each
permutation, it will return an answer and a probability that the response is
correct. High-confidence recombination outputs say 75-99 percent, might be
reviewed by subject-matter experts via crowdsourcing to determine if the
resulting answers make sense. Watson, artificial intelligence capable of
innovation, may generate 10 million usable ideas in a day using this method.
The first endeavor
would be the easiest, but it would yield more novel ideas than the lifetimes of
Leonardo da Vinci, Benjamin Franklin, and Richard Feynman put together. Let's
say that number is 10,000 new original thoughts per man, or 30,000 in total,
which is an incredible number by any measure, but the AI using a supercomputer
and all the world's recorded knowledge and information could come up with a
billion new original thoughts by next weekend, and it could keep doing that
until it ran out of things to combine.
Can we conclude
that AI machine learning developers will eventually dominate the creative process? Is this a prelude to the
complete extinction of human intelligence? Could this be the end for firms that
provide innovative consulting? Both. Yes, because it's inevitable in the long
run, and no, because it won't happen overnight and the AI will create a lot of
work along the way and humans will have to verify all those new concepts, which
alone could employ millions of intellectuals and would cover almost every sector,
industry, and intellectual domain. A project of this scale has the potential to
last for at least three decades, meaning that millions of people will be
employed throughout that time.
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